Republicans are feeling giddy after the Ames Straw Poll.
But the field offers little promise in the Rust Belt, where 2012 will be won or lost.
excerpts ..
The strongest Republican Electoral College path to victory is to attract the hefty young Catholic male vote in the Rust Belt—Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota (home to both Pawlenty and Bachmann). The winning candidate will also have to hold on to enough of the young female Catholic vote in the Rust Belt, as well as in North Carolina, Virginia, and West Virginia, to help keep the default Democratic lead among female voters below 14 percent.
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The best indication of Romney's troubles so far is the joke going around that the reason he speculated so early on a running mate like Chris Christie of New Jersey or Marco Rubio of Florida is that he's sensitive to the need for a Republican on his ticket.
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Rick Perry, 61, of Texas is also older; he is also a fervent evangelical Christianwith little sense of proportion about his associations. Just prior to announcing his candidacy in South Carolina on Saturday, Perry joined with the American Family Association (AFA) in a tent revival so large it was called "Prayerapalooza" and required Houston's Reliant Stadium. What surprises here is that Perry knows full well that the AFA is called a hate group by the Southern Poverty Law Center for its bizarre intolerance toward homosexuals and other minorities.
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